Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 7.044207 8.138664 9.308277 10.646906 12.132162 13.725187 15.558491
2025-05-18 5.267449 6.711908 8.371025 10.400205 12.796748 15.518600 18.824233
2025-05-25 4.028859 5.637598 7.614495 10.181718 13.383715 17.201035 22.047416
2025-06-01 3.196167 4.889154 7.104723 10.141760 14.115065 19.051898 25.555688
2025-06-08 2.549327 4.255320 6.626971 10.045875 14.716745 20.736857 28.926634
2025-06-15 2.230229 4.015517 6.628434 10.555664 16.112462 23.485751 33.771154
2025-06-22 1.851362 3.611878 6.330257 10.592770 16.837842 25.363156 37.546285
2025-06-29 1.454996 3.100222 5.791398 10.203058 16.902193 26.313395 40.089741
2025-07-06 1.132922 2.645716 5.269876 9.765382 16.832945 27.036876 42.315132
2025-07-13 1.025266 2.560555 5.338465 10.246851 18.150473 29.775557 47.448305
2025-07-20 0.975534 2.577706 5.579628 11.018992 19.947547 33.275538 53.781289
2025-07-27 0.907985 2.544583 5.723125 11.631144 21.517241 36.492239 59.805332
2025-08-03 0.773366 2.345596 5.547519 11.699050 22.249065 38.528872 64.251745
2025-08-10 0.621813 2.071094 5.189653 11.410040 22.375223 39.645244 67.378149
2025-08-17 0.500858 1.836812 4.874889 11.161889 22.541961 40.817882 70.617853
2025-08-24 0.416685 1.673219 4.679861 11.111430 23.029700 42.499291 74.669641
2025-08-31 0.342437 1.513808 4.468293 11.004140 23.402853 44.001496 78.482851
2025-09-07 0.318571 1.500064 4.582861 11.548966 24.958827 47.471101 85.458590
2025-09-14 0.269515 1.389437 4.454485 11.587320 25.596365 49.450569 90.140148
2025-09-21 0.207362 1.207857 4.123025 11.168236 25.360794 49.960593 92.489840
2025-09-28 0.155614 1.037763 3.786654 10.697774 24.988386 50.209609 94.408360
2025-10-05 0.145618 1.035325 3.895013 11.214508 26.527300 53.769960 101.797417
2025-10-12 0.145786 1.078679 4.134791 12.042699 28.703744 58.488464 111.186326